Itinerant Air-Cooled

"Terrain induced precipitation is a major factor for meteorologists as they forecast the local weather. Orography can play a major role in the type, amount, intensity and duration of precipitation events. Researchers have discovered that barrier width, slope steepness and updraft speed are major contributors for the optimal amount and intensity of orographic precipitation. Computer model simulations for these factors showed that narrow barriers and steeper slopes produced stronger updraft speeds which, in turn, enhanced orographic precipitation."

I'll probably be the first one there. I plan on arriving Tuesday night or Wednesday morning. Gotta leave Friday though. I'll be bringing Tito The Wonder Dog on his first camping trip. Hopefully he won't freak out.

Sounds great, I'm still planning on Wed evening arrival. Scope out that road pretty good before you go down it...
Dogs love the woods, you shouldn't have any trouble.

Anyone showing up before Friday (aside from Hamster)? I gotta leave Friday morning and would like to see at least some of you.

Doesn't look like Don is making it, not sure about Frank, haven't heard back. Maybe DJ?
I may be able to get out of Portland around 4:00 BTW, hoping to get out there before dark to scope things out. Randy I will try to call you when I leave.

The latest forecast, dress warm! Of course it could be in the 80s all weekend too.

Wed Showers likely, mainly before 11am. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 42. Light west wind increasing to 5 to 9 mph in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Wednesday Night A 20 percent chance of showers before 11pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 33. West wind 5 to 9 mph becoming calm in the evening.

Thursday Mostly sunny, with a high near 48. West northwest wind 3 to 7 mph.
Thursday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 34. West northwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.

Friday Mostly sunny, with a high near 52.
Friday Night A 20 percent chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 38.

Saturday A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 63.
Saturday Night A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 40.

Sunday Rain likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 53.

We're a little slow at the shop, so it's possible I could make it out Friday, but that's not probable. I'll likely get there Friday night.

I'm outa here in a couple hours, see you all out there!!!!

I may make it out. It's looking like a freakishly busy weekend =\

"by the pricking of my thumbs, something wicked this way comes."


Storm's a brewin'...Travel advisories and such.

From the national weather service:

...UNUSUAL SEPTEMBER WINDY AND VERY WET STORM SYSTEMS EXPECTED
THIS WEEKEND TO IMPACT SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON AND NORTHWEST
OREGON...

A SERIES OF POTENT EARLY FALL STORMS WILL IMPACT THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST THROUGH THIS WEEKEND...BRINGING A PROLONGED PERIOD OF
MODERATE TO VERY HEAVY RAINS TO THE SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON AND
NORTHWEST OREGON. TWO OF THESE STORMS WILL ALSO PRODUCE STRONG
WINDS ALONG THE COAST AND LOCALLY INLAND AS WELL. THESE ARE HIGHLY
UNUSUAL STORMS FOR SEPTEMBER AND HAVE THE POTENTIAL FOR PRODUCING
RECORD RAINS.

THE FIRST BATCH OF RAIN HAS SPREAD ONSHORE INTO SOUTHWEST
WASHINGTON AND NORTHWEST OREGON THIS AFTERNOON...AND WILL CONTINUE
INTO TONIGHT. BETWEEN 0.75 AND 2.00 INCHES OF RAIN WILL FALL BY
DAYBREAK SATURDAY WITH HEAVIEST AMOUNTS OVER THE COAST RANGE AND
SOUTHWEST SLOPES OF THE WASHINGTON CASCADES. THIS STORM WILL ALSO
BRING BREEZY CONDITIONS TO THE AREA...BUT WILL BE THE WEAKEST
STORM OF THIS SERIES.

THE NEXT STORM ON SATURDAY WILL BE CONSIDERABLY STRONGER AND
WETTER...AND WILL CONTAIN TROPICAL MOISTURE FROM A FORMER WESTERN
PACIFIC TYPHOON. RAIN WILL INCREASE DRAMATICALLY DURING THE DAY
SATURDAY AND CONTINUE HEAVY AT TIMES THROUGH A GOOD PART OF
SATURDAY NIGHT. HIGH WINDS WILL ALSO OCCUR ALONG THE COASTAL STRIP
AND BEACHES...WITH BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS INLAND INTO THE
VALLEYS.

THE SECOND POTENTIALLY EVEN STRONGER STORM IS EXPECTED TO APPROACH
SUNDAY AND MOVE THROUGH THE AREA SUNDAY NIGHT. THIS STORM WILL
ALSO HAVE TROPICAL MOISTURE WITH IT AND MAY HAVE SOME OF THE
REMNANT CIRCULATION OF THE FORMER TYPHOON IN IT. THIS STORM WILL
BRING ANOTHER ROUND OF HEAVY RAIN TO SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON AND
NORTHWEST OREGON SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT. EVEN STRONGER WINDS ARE
POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM...BOTH AT THE COAST AND INLAND.

RAINFALL ESTIMATES THROUGH MONDAY SHOW AMOUNTS IN THE COAST RANGE
AND CASCADES COULD REACH 7 TO 10 INCHES...WITH 2 TO 4 INCHES IN
THE VALLEYS. THESE RAINS WILL LIKELY LEAD TO AREAS OF URBAN AND
SMALL STREAM FLOODING. LARGER RIVERS WILL LIKELY ALSO SEE
SIGNIFICANT RISES. THIS AMOUNT OF RAINFALL WILL ALSO LEAD TO DEBRIS
FLOWS AND LANDSLIDES IN STEEPER TERRAIN. SOME PLACES THIS OFTEN
OCCURS INCLUDES THE COLUMBIA RIVER GORGE...THE WEST HILLS OF
PORTLAND...AND THE FOOTHILLS OF THE CASCADES.

Should I?...

Shouldn't I?...

I believe I will.


Flyin' in in the dark, per the usual.

This is the road with the .....GRAVEL...

To which I won't make it to at this time... Things just didn't line up, both time and effort wise. =\

Hope everyone gets out of there OK. No wrecks, no drowning, no trees/limbs crashing down on anyone's rig...

No kidding. Sure been windy and wet up here on the mountain.


neal

Holy crap! 10,000 gallons of rain, nonstop. And kudos to a couple of hearty campers who didn't leave me out there alone!
All I could think about all night was bowling alley bars, soothing me to sleep under a million water clunks on that tin roof.
You have not lived until you have eaten a rare steak in the dark sideways rain. I'm glad that is out of the way now.
Bus ran like a top, but I am leaving the wet stuff in there until tomorrow as it's raining buckets out there still. YUCK everything is a sodden mess.
Other than you guys, it was one of the few camps that I didn't enjoy myself due to weather. It is good to be home! And the wind sure is howling out there...

Uhh huhh.


neal

Hoooooooo dogggggy! Quite soggy! At least the roads survived.

That trip back was quite an adventure, too! Howling, shifting headwinds and torrential rains on I-5. And at one point on 211 outside Woodburn, I got hit with a small cyclone. Like a sudden hard punch to the side of the bus, opposite the gale, followed by a burst of speed and then back to punishing side/headwind.

But the fire stayed lit, so HA! Take that Nature! ::tree falls on house::