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Exponentially speaking

Posted: Wed Mar 25, 2020 11:58 am
by Spezialist
Anyone want to talk about the elephant in the room?

Re: Exponentially speaking

Posted: Wed Mar 25, 2020 7:56 pm
by hippiewannabe
Yeah, so far the curves all look the same. We'll know soon how much the social distancing efforts have changed the story in places where they may have gotten ahead of it. ... gzq11r32nl

NYC is getting real bad real fast. My son in law's boss lives on the 63rd floor in Manhattan. After four days not leaving the apartment, they went to go for a walk. The elevator showed up jam packed, so they turned around and went back. The infrastructure that works so majestically serving 8 million people is about to fall apart.

Re: Exponentially speaking

Posted: Wed Mar 25, 2020 9:26 pm
by tristessa
This piece that I came across the other day seems to suggest that what they're doing the Bay Area is working, though admittedly the days are early and the data still fresh and slim. Still, it even has links to what look like legit .gov references and everything... ... -the-curve

Re: Exponentially speaking

Posted: Thu Mar 26, 2020 8:11 pm
by Spezialist
Here's a thought, Oil production peaked 2013, current estimates are this, we don't have enough oils of any kind to further global warming.

The covid thing is something we’ve all had already, it’s the “kennel” cough we get when we’re little and exploring and putting stuff in our mouths.
The bacteria infection that comes later is what’s killing people.

Old problems can become dangerous in the civilized world.

If you can hold your breath for ten seconds you’re good.

Production is going to go haywire and people need to prepare for that.

There will be a before date and after and that will alter price and value of of everything

Secondary markets are tanked, everything is now local.

I don’t carry a device it’s unnecessary anymore.

Thanks for your thoughts,
I don’t have a central point to this thread other than listing to folks problems together and finding solutions together.
My belief is this is the new exponential world that cannot be ignored anymore. I only hope we are not on the cliff, but it’s sure windy.
Watch the weather vane.

I’ve got a few friends who have it, one died already so I’m invested.
I travel by bicycle own a truck, hopefully the 1/4 tank of gas doesn’t evaporate. I don’t believe the future looks anything like yesterday.

Re: Exponentially speaking

Posted: Fri Mar 27, 2020 7:41 pm
by hippiewannabe
Spezialist wrote:
Thu Mar 26, 2020 8:11 pm
Here's a thought, Oil production peaked 2013, current estimates are this, we don't have enough oils of any kind to further global warming.....
I'm puzzled why you started your post with an off topic factoid that is completely false and easily proven so. Are you just looking to stir the pot?

Your other opinions and observations have merit. From the safety of my work-from-home Fortune 500 job, I believe we'll come out on the other side OK, tragically avoidable deaths notwithstanding. My son, on the front lines of start-ups and venture capital, early escapee from Manhattan, sees economic Armageddon.

Re: Exponentially speaking

Posted: Sat Mar 28, 2020 4:37 pm
by Spezialist
I believe the problems today are all exponential now, which prior to this outbreak one could bury their head in the sand or yet profit from the problem.
In two weeks, we’ve gone from a few cases to 100k and failing test reports to lead us to believe that number is too low.

And no I don’t want to argue about anything, this thread is a free form.
I stated my position about peak oil the way I did because that’s what I believe. Your free to give your opinion without any support and leave it at that.
My style of communication is inclusive, you and I are not stopping any problems today or tomorrow but we may be able to enjoy life more by having a different perspective for a few moments. Because for those few moments inspiration comes. We need that. Big time.
I’d like you to throw stuff out there and others too.